Monday, 26 June 2017

Book review - death of a nation and future of Arab revolution

The death of the nation and the future of Arab Revolution

It is one of the best books detailing the root causes behind the conflict in Middle East.
In the first Chapter, author Vijay Prashad explains how during the times of Arab Spring, Saudi Arabia snuffed its disgruntled population with jail sentences to instill fear in them so that they never rise in protest against the kingdom. Saudi regime entered Bahrain to crush its Pearl Monument encampment. The biggest blow to Arab Nationalism came not directly from either the West or Saudi Arabia, but from the defeat of Arab armies in the 1967 “Battle of Destiny” against Israel. It was this defeat that broke the spirit of Arab possibilities.
 While the political Islam had a growth spurt in 1980s, but in Syria, it was severely repressed. An ill-fated attempt at political power, which was driven by gun, in the 1970s ended for the Syrian Brotherhood in the ash-heap of Hama. The Syrian Brotherhood was the only Muslim Brotherhood group of any capacity in West Asia. It was crushed by 1982 and never recovered after that.
The phenomenon of regime change is easier to give effect, but on the ground, implementation of this new regime is a complex process. The overthrow of autocratic Government occurs in a short term, the consolidation of new regime takes place in medium term, and then the economic and cultural changes required to setup a new dispensation take place in long term. The Arab Spring, was the first phase of short term. The region poised to enter the medium phase, with the fights to establish the new Governmental authority that would be loyal to the spirit of Arab Spring, took place. Now, the ledger is unbalanced. History oscillates between a return to the time before 2010 and to the edge of the next moment.
The author aptly asks, “if the old regimes seemed incapable of solving the problems of the present, what political forces today have answers to current challenges?”

Origin of Hezbollah:
Iraqi cleric Al-Sadr studied Marxism and Communism as did many others Islamist thinkers.  Al-Sadr’s movement drew from Bolshevism and Islamic socialism. Adoption of socialism’s idioms allowed this branch of political Islam neither reactionary nor lethargic. Out of these initiatives grew Hezbollah in Lebanon and Sadr movement in Iraq.
Arab Nationalism might have developed alliances with communism as both had taken antagonistic position against imperialism and colonialism. But this was not to be. The communists endangered the status quo as they rose in struggles against the tendency of Arab nationalists to favor domestic bourgeoisie over the peasants and workers.
Arab communists felt compelled to follow the Soviet Union’s recognition of Israel in 1948 cutting them off from the greater mood of anger at the Palestinian naqba. This association undermined the principled critique of Arab nationalism by the communists.
The combination of Arab Nationalism and communism threatened the sultans of Saudi Arabia and their US backers. In 1962, the Saudi regime created the World Muslim league as they felt that Islam formed a significant bulwark against communism.

Saudi intelligence and the military forces provoked uprisings in Oman and in Yemen to push petty claims of land, and get rid of communists in both these nations. OIC was created in 1969 to provide counterweight to NAM.

Birth of 9/11
Bin Laden formed al-Qaeda in 1989 and strengthened it over time. Worried that Saudi monarch would allow US troops to eject Saddam Hussein’s army, Bin Laden recommended that the al-Qaeda men do this task. On the refusal of Saudi king, Bin Laden set onto a course of permanent war against both the near army (Arab leaders) and the far enemy (US). Thus, 9/11 was born in that refusal.
First aerial bombardment in world history – in 1911, when Italians bombed Libya, a hundred years later, West retuned for a sequel in Libya.

Syrian war
The author quotes a senior Kurdish commander of YPG as saying that Turkey was to Syria, what Pakistan was to Afghanistan. Like Pakistan, Turkey allowed itself to become a base for foreign extremists eager to go across the border and destabilize it’s neighbor. Trucks with World Food Org. logos were seen to be carrying ISIS fighters into Syria. Even Qatari charities sent aid and assistance to ISIS controlled areas in Syria.

Yemen crisis

The conflict in Yemen-with no outcome in sight-will possibly draw ordinary Yemeni Sunnis to consider Al-Qaeda-in-Arabian-Peninsula a positive influence on the country. This is the danger of sectarian wars that have no endgame. They will not end with a utopian outcome. They can end only where life becomes evil. 

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